{"id":141189,"date":"2020-09-09T09:42:52","date_gmt":"2020-09-09T09:42:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.sap.com\/africa\/?p=141189"},"modified":"2023-09-27T19:52:48","modified_gmt":"2023-09-27T19:52:48","slug":"what-east-africa-can-teach-the-rest-of-the-continent-about-economic-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.sap.com\/africa\/2020\/09\/what-east-africa-can-teach-the-rest-of-the-continent-about-economic-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"What East Africa can Teach the Rest of the Continent about Economic Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"
The 21st century is widely touted as the \u2018African Century\u2019, a period promising unprecedented economic and technological growth for the continent. Africa\u2019s future looks bright.<\/p>\n
The continent features five of the ten fastest-growing economies in the world<\/a>. Its population is the most youthful, with 60% of all African citizens under the age of 25<\/a>. And the world\u2019s largest free trade area in terms of participating countries, the African Continental Free Trade Area, is now active and expected to boost intra-African trade by as much as 52% by 2022<\/a>.<\/p>\n With Africa\u2019s fortunes continuing to improve, one region stands out as a possible example to the rest of the continent. As the world starts its slow recovery from a year of constant disruption and immense challenges, a closer look at the continued economic success story of the East African region could hold inspiration for how the rest of the continent drives economic growth.<\/p>\n Two of the five fastest-growing economies <\/a>in the world are in East Africa: Ethiopa (2) and Rwanda (4). According to the Brookings Institute, East Africa\u2019s share of the continent\u2019s economic growth rose from less than 20% in 2018 to more than 32% in 2019<\/a>.<\/p>\n In contrast, GDP growth in Southern Africa actually declined, thanks mostly to the decline in growth in South Africa. The impact of 2020\u2019s events are predicted to worsen the situation, with an estimated 7.2% contraction in GDP expected in South Africa – the worst in nearly 90 years.<\/p>\n Despite the disruptive events of 2020, the African Development Bank found that East Africa is holding its ground as the continent\u2019s fastest-growing region. This at a time when many countries – emerging and developed economies alike – face record declines in economic growth.<\/p>\n What are the region’s keys to success? Its attempts at building a vibrant services sector, its coordinated state-supported industrial growth efforts, and a renewed focus on education reform with an emphasis on fostering digital skills all hold valuable lessons for the rest of the continent.<\/p>\n According to data by the African Development Bank, agriculture\u2019s contribution to East Africa\u2019s gross domestic product declined from 33.4% in the early 2000s to only 28.3% in 2018. Rising in its place is a vibrant and fast-growing services sector that contributes more than half (53.8%) of the region\u2019s GDP.<\/p>\n This economic shift is creating new employment opportunities. Based on data by the International Labour Organisation, the number of employment opportunities in the region\u2019s services sector is set to more than double between 2000 and 2020, while opportunities in the agriculture sector will grow at a slower pace.<\/p>\n Digital transformation is one of the main drivers of growth in the services sector. In fact, the World Bank estimates that connecting every African business, individual and government to digital technologies by 2030 can boost growth by up to 2% per year, and reduce poverty by 1% per year<\/a>.<\/p>\n In 2012, the East African Community (EAC), which covers Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda, launched its 2012-2032 Industrialisation Policy. The strategy aims to create a market-driven, competitive and balanced industrial sector that draws on the advantages of the EAC region.<\/p>\n The aim is to grow the contribution of manufacturing to the region’s GDP from an estimated 8.9% currently to 25% by 2032.<\/p>\n However, the contribution of the industrial sector to regional GDP growth has stalled in all EAC countries with the exception of Tanzania. In a report in 2019<\/a>, the East Africa Development Bank (EADB) noted insufficient investment in industrial transformation as a main reason for the decreasing contribution of industry to GDP growth.<\/p>\n According to the EADB, other countries wishing to drive greater industrialisation should improve regional infrastructure (such as roads, rail networks, energy and communications), establish special economic zones with compelling incentives, and greater investment in human capital development to ensure ready access to key skills.<\/p>\n Since 2000, the number of African kids attending primary school grew from 60 million to 150 million<\/a>, with a vanishing gender gap that now sees nearly as many girls attend school as boys.<\/p>\n Human capital development is a core component of accelerating the development efforts of emerging economies. Data shows that significant and ongoing investment in human capital development has direct benefits to GDP growth, with the Gates Foundation finding that every additional year of schooling boosts individual income by as much as 8%<\/a>.<\/p>\n Kenya and Tanzania are notable for their efforts to drive education reform and expand access to schooling for more children. In Kenya, the number of people with primary education is expected to increase by 25% by 2030<\/a>, with the number of people who have completed secondary or tertiary education growing by 60% over the next decade.<\/p>\n In Tanzania, it is estimated that six out of seven people will have completed some form of education by 2030. However, there is much work still to be done: by 2030, only 12% of Tanzanians are expected to have completed secondary or tertiary education<\/a>.<\/p>\nOne of the world\u2019s fastest-growing regions<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Building a vibrant services sector<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Concerted industrial revival<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Education reform for 21st<\/sup> century skills<\/strong><\/h2>\n